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Oil steady as expected OPEC cuts balance high inventory

Reuters
London, UKUpdated: Nov 30, 2018, 06:54 PM IST
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Oil pumps are seen after sunset outside Vaudoy-en-Brie, near Paris, France . Photograph:(Reuters)

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Crude reserves increased 6.4 billion barrels, or 19.5 per cent, to 39.2 billion barrels at year-end 2017, marginally higher than the previous record of 39 billion barrels set in 1970, the EIA said.
 

 Oil prices steadied on Friday as expectations that OPEC and Russia would agree some form of production cut next week balanced pressure from swelling inventories.

Both international oil benchmarks, North Sea Brent and US light crude, have had their weakest month for more than 10 years in November, losing 28 per cent and 30 per cent respectively as global supply has outstripped demand.

Brent was up 25 cents at $59.76 a barrel by 0910 GMT. US crude was unchanged at $51.45. Both contracts are up about 1 per cent this week, the first weekly gains in almost two months.

Surging oil production in the United States, Russia and by members of the Middle East-dominated Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries has helped fill global inventories and create a glut in some markets.

A slowdown in oil demand growth is compounding the emerging oversupply.

"Near-term oversupply has gutted Brent prices," said Jason Gammel, an analyst at US investment bank Jefferies, adding that there was "an increasing urgency to move crude into storage".

This move is visible in the Brent forward price curve, which now has prices for future delivery above those for immediate dispatch, a structure known as "contango", which can make it attractive to put oil into storage for later sale.

To rein in the glut, OPEC and its main partner Russia are discussing supply cuts and are due to meet in Vienna on Dec. 6 and 7 to agree production strategy.

"The next OPEC meeting is going to prove a pivotal moment for the direction of oil prices in 2019," BNP Paribas strategist Harry Tchilinguirian told Reuters Global Oil Forum.

"A decision will have to be made against a background of strong US shale oil supply growth, and for now, weaker expectations on global oil demand growth."

Before the OPEC meeting, the world`s top three producers - the United States, Russia and Saudi Arabia - will be part of a meeting this weekend of the Group of 20 industrialised nations in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Oil inventories are rising fast in the United States, where commercial crude stocks rose by 3.6 million barrels in the week to November 23 to 450.49 million barrels, according to the Energy Information Administration (EIA). US crude production is at a record high of 11.7 million barrels per day (bpd).

Crude reserves increased 6.4 billion barrels, or 19.5 per cent, to 39.2 billion barrels at year-end 2017, marginally higher than the previous record of 39 billion barrels set in 1970, the EIA said.